14 Day Powder Forecast: Special Statement on Hurricane Sandy

Posted By: The Ski Channel on October 27, 2012 11:38 am

Currently it is still snowing in Northern Montana, Idaho and along the Canadian border (Rogers Pass) where 4-8 inches of snow are likely today however the bigger news is the recap from last week!Deepness was welcomed in both the Northern Sierra, Wasatch, Tetons (Highest elevations only), and to a lesser extent areas in Colorado from I-70 and North (Beaver Creek, Vail, Steamboat). The solid winners from last week were Squaw Valley in CA, and Powder Mountain in Northern Utah where nearly 3 feet or more snow brought early season face shots to those that hiked for it!  The week ahead looks very wet for the Northwest with primarily rain up to 7,000 feet  with some lowering of the snow levels by Thursday/Friday (Mid Mountain snow possible). This moisture will migrate into the Sierra by this Wednesday/Thursday with a mix of rain/snow at the bases and a quick shot of 5-10 inches at higher elevations (Good for base building).  Don’t expect the euphoria of last week however you might get it again in our long range forecast below.

The Wasatch and Tetons should see light dense snow by Thursday/Friday of this week eventually impacting northern Colorado by Saturday. Amounts will be on the light side.

LONG TERM WEEK 2

The week of November 5th-12th looks more exciting as  moisture continues in the Northwest, and northern tip of California with 5-6,000 foot snow levels.  Cold air drops south by November 7thwhich appears to set us up for some moderate to heavy snow over the Northwest, Northern Rockies, and even the Wasatch late in the week.  The Sierra remains on the southern edge of the moisture with light to moderate precipitation possible. Colder air filters down into the Sierra late in the week and heavier dumpage is possible in the November 10-11 time-frame.  Remember that confidence in models this far out is only 30% but I like to stay optimistic!

MY TAKE ON TROPICAL STORM SANDY:

I ran the weather models again this morning and all odds point towards a very dangerous storm due primarily from the long duration rainfall, moderate to occasionally strong winds and abnormally high tides. The fact that the trees are still fully leaved, and with a solid 2-3 days of rainfall (4-8 inches of rain) and even 40-50 mile per hour sustained gusts will produce severe power outages that will last for many days. Rain will begin to impact the Mid Atlantic Corridor on Sunday and the low pressure will make landfall on Monday night over Central/Northern New Jersey/Deleware. The low will proceed inland through PA, and eventually North through New England Tuesday-Thursday. The highest impacts will be along the Coast in Delaware, New Jersey, PA, and areas just south of NYC.   When Sandy turns north towards New England much of the energy will be weakened however moderate rain and wind will still impact areas from Rhode island into Maine.  Ski areas such as Snowshoe and Cannon Valley will see 1-2 feet of wet snow Sunday night through Tuesday!  Considering the average snowfall for Snowshoe WV ski is 180 inches per season this will put them ahead of even some areas of the West!  Unfortunately for skiers in New England the air will be too warm for snow. Wouldn’t we like to dream that this 4-8 inches of rain translated into 40-80 inches of snow!  Perhaps we can talk about this in January! West Virgina might be talking about it on Tuesday!

Enjoy the fresh powder from last week in the West!

Powderchaser Steve

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